Statewide Travel Demand Model - Phase 1

Location: Minnesota
Posted: Apr 24, 2026
Due: May 4, 2026
Agency: State Government of Minnesota
Type of Government: State & Local
Category:
  • V - Transportation, Travel and Relocation Services
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Statewide Travel Demand Model - Phase 1

Brief Description: MnDOT requests letters of interest for a comprehensive statewide planning tool to effectively plan future travel behavior in Minnesota and to respond to legislative direction on accounting for travel behavior. This request for proposals aims to determine appropriate modeling resolutions and implement a functional statewide model that supports both short-term and long-term planning needs. The model ideally will incorporate passenger travel, freight movement, and will accommodate trips with origins and/or destinations outside the state. The model's design should be flexible enough to incorporate multimodal networks, seasonal variations in levels of travel, the location of special generators, and the ability to simulate tolling and other direct user pricing scenarios. The overall framework of the model will be modular, allowing for future orientation toward activity or tour-based modeling of travel, the ability to model multimodal freight flows.

Date posted: 03/31/2026
Due date: 05/04/2026 - Updated 4/24*

Attachment Preview

MnDOT Contract No. 1062126
Exhibit A: Specifications, Duties, and Scope of Work
1. Project Overview
1.1. Independent Contractor
1.1.1. The Successful Responder agrees it is acting in the role of an independent contractor. The
Successful Responder, and its employees and subcontractors, will not be considered employees of the
State for any reason. The Successful Responder acknowledges that it is responsible for its own financial
control. The Successful Responder has negotiated the payment for this contract with the State, which
may result in a profit or loss for the Successful Responder. The Successful Responder also acknowledges
that it is responsible for the behavioral control of itself, its operations, and its staff. The Successful
Responder is solely responsible for determining the means, methods, and sequence of performing the
work covered by this contract. The State has included deliverable dates in this contract, not to provide a
“sequence” of work but because the State must coordinate these deliverables with (1) the State’s
financial plans, (2) other contracts managed by the State, and (3) work performed by the State’s own
staff. The parties have mutually drafted and agreed upon a scope of work. The level of detail used to
describe the work is intended only to establish minimum standards and ensure consistency across the
hundreds of projects managed by the State; the Successful Responder remains responsible for
determining the means and methods of performing the work to meet or exceed those requirements.
The State will not directly supervise the Successful Responder ’s work but will provide oversight and
monitoring, as required by Minnesota Statutes §16C.08 and 23 Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) Part
172.5, to ensure compliance with the terms, conditions, and specifications of this contract. At the
conclusion of this contract, MnDOT will evaluate the Successful Responder’s performance under this
contract for potential use in future evaluations and selections as required by Minnesota Statutes
§16C.08 and 23 CFR Part 172.5.
1.2. General Statement of Scope of Work
1.2.1. MnDOT seeks to develop and implement a modular, policy-sensitive, and Statewide Travel
Demand Forecast Model (STDFM). This model will support transportation planning, policy evaluation,
and greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction strategies across Minnesota.
1.3. Project Background
1.3.1. MnDOT needs a comprehensive statewide planning tool to effectively plan future travel
behavior in Minnesota and to respond to legislative direction on accounting for travel behavior. This
request for proposals aims to determine appropriate modeling resolutions and implement a functional
statewide model that supports both short-term and long-term planning needs. The model ideally will
incorporate passenger travel, freight movement, and will accommodate trips with origins and/or
destinations outside the state. The model's design should be flexible enough to incorporate multimodal
networks, seasonal variations in levels of travel, the location of special generators, and the ability to
simulate tolling and other direct user pricing scenarios. The overall framework of the model will be
modular, allowing for future orientation toward activity or tour-based modeling of travel, the ability to
model multimodal freight flows.
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MnDOT Contract No. 1062196
Exhibit A: Specifications, Duties, and Scope of Work
1.4. Project Management & Planning
1.4.1. Successful Responder will develop and maintain a detailed work plan and schedule. The
Successful Responder will prepare a comprehensive project work plan that includes a Gantt chart or
similar schedule, identifying key milestones, deliverables, dependencies, and review points.
1.4.2. Successful Responder will coordinate with MnDOT and the Metropolitan Council’s Project
Management Team (PMT) for governance and oversight that includes regular coordination meetings,
decision-making protocols, and documentation of key actions.
1.4.3. Successful Responder will provide regular updates, risk assessments, and progress reports
summarizing completed tasks, upcoming activities, risks, and mitigation strategies.
1.5. Base Year Model Development
1.5.1. Successful Responder will Identify data and design robust, transparent methodologies for
synthesizing trip tables for both the base and future years. The trip tables should represent passenger
demand and freight demand (such as truck trips).
1.5.2. The Successful Responder develop a multimodal statewide network that supports the
planning needs and the representation of underlying zone structure(s) in tandem. The model's zone and
network structure will need to balance considerations of adequate spatial disaggregation and
computational tractability. For example, a Census block group level is likely starting point. Aggregation
or disaggregation of zones will need to be evaluated based on context. Within urban areas, the zone and
network structure will need to be detailed enough to avoid the generation of "pseudo-congestion" on
zone centroid connector links.
1.5.3. Identify and develop an assignment routine that is multimodal, multiclass and by time of day;
the assignment routines should be capable of evaluating identified policy issues (example: congestion
pricing, tolled corridors, etc.,) as needed.
1.5.4. Develop routines to evaluate and validate assignment outputs and as well as calibrate the
assignment routines as needed. The consultant shall outline a data collection and implementation plan
to support this task.
1.5.5. Develop a process for accounting for seasonality, using post processing factors based on
current observed data
1.6. Interim Forecast Scenario Development
1.6.1. Successful Responder will develop forecast year demographic data in consultation with the
state demographers and local jurisdictions in developing methodologies and data for forecast years
1.6.2. Successful Responder will develop Forecast Year Trip Tables by class, including basic freight
assumptions and growth factors or synthetic methods to generate future trip tables.
1.6.3. Successful Responder will create a methodology for forecast trip table generation.
Documenting assumptions, data sources, and modeling techniques used to generate forecast trip tables.
Including sensitivity testing and scenario-based adjustments.
1.6.4. Successful Responder will develop a set of methodologies for generating a robust set of
forecast year trip tables for input to the forecast year highway assignment procedures
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MnDOT Contract No. 1062196
Exhibit A: Specifications, Duties, and Scope of Work
1.6.5. Successful Responder will develop forecast year highway network development. Including
sensitivity testing and scenario-based adjustments. Coordinate with MnDOT and the local jurisdictions in
developing a set of projects and incorporating them into the existing highway network to develop the
necessary forecast year highway networks.
1.6.6. The Successful Responder will run the assignment model for the forecast year and ensure that
the process is valid and generates reasonable results.
1.7. Technical Documentation and User Guidance
1.7.1. Successful Responder will prepare comprehensive documentation of all model components,
assumptions, data sources, and methodologies.
1.7.2. Successful Responder will create user manuals, metadata, and guidance for future updates.
1.7.3. Successful Responder will provide training sessions or materials for MnDOT staff and partners.
1.8. Key Deliverables
Successful Responder will provide the following deliverables.
1.8.1. Prioritization Report – Travel markets and modeling resolution recommendations.
1.8.2. Base Year Model Package – Trip tables, network, zone structure, assignment routines,
calibration/validation results.
1.8.3. Forecast Scenario Package – Forecast-year demographics, trip tables, network, and assignment
results and underlying zone structure(s)
1.8.4. Technical Documentation Report – Methodologies, assumptions, and user guidance.
1.8.5. Phase 2 Discovery – Future development roadmap and module ideas.
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